Saturday, 26 November 2011

Bets 26.11.2011

Newbury 13.20 3m2f Hcp Chase Ch3

Double Dizzy at odds of 10+ here is very overpriced in my eyes. LTO run in a Cheltenham Ch2 race over 3m7f against very classy animals included Garde Champetre and Uncle Junior both rated 140+. The race was run at a very good pace and Double Dizzy just struggled in the end. Today over lower distance against weaker opposition and against mainly 130 rated runners, makes this horse my shot. Ialso like Battlecry here as a chance from the front looked also very decetn last time out and should have a chance as a frontrunner.

I also have a Lay at 3.4 for Horsham Lad, set a Back Inrunning 4.0+because I think its too short and I see a chance of Horsham Lad getting outpaced early, when Battlecry goes on with Double Dizzy and a good chance of trading out at higher odds.

BOOM! Horsham Lad traded put successfully and had Battlecry aswell traded out.

13.30 Newbury 2m6f Ch3

Made in Time 10 .5 BSP 3.7 PSP

LTO first time over fences beat Rio Gael 153 Dhcp rated runner with 16 lenghts.
Ran in March in a Bumper in Newbury having a close 2nd to Al Ferof a 142+ DHCP rated runner, who won a 13k Novice Chase Class1 last time out.
Starts today on an official 139 mark which the horse can get here.

Travelled nicely but unseated :(



Newbury 2.05 2m HH1

Rumble of Thunder ( IRE) 19.5 BSP 4.9 PSP is a nice horse here, won three times in a row on Hurdles but still has such a high odds. Is really a cracking price considering it beat LTO Dance for Julie a horse with DHcp of 148 and before hacked up in a HH1L in Market Rasen beating several good animals. Is running held up and striking late and showed it against good animals.

Rock on Ruby (IRE) 7.2 BSP PSP ? also is a classy horse to me in this line up to me. Showed LTO very nice perfromance in Aintree HH1 2m4f simply loosing against a class act Spirit Son which was another dimension and finsihed close to Cue Card. Hit the last and today has shorter trip which will suit. Has a long layoff, but has all the chances today when Walsh is booked. Horse has 2/2 on Walsh and is facing mainly runners today that didnt really prove at high level pace and class races what they are capable of. Favourite Empire Levant has to prove that first, same with Dream Function, a horse that won an ordinary Novice hurdles.

BOOM! Rock on Ruby easily 1st

15.45 Newbury 2m4f Ch2

I oppose Coup Royale here at 5.5 BSP. Didnt show anything special yet. LTO in rear and didnt convince in the finsih compared to Fistral Beach. Races today against much better opposition and back to Newbury has a long layoff, jockey booked that is 2nd choice for him and there are many Ch1 and Ch2 horses that can run a cracker sometimes.
I play very small stakes Quilinton a horse that has concentration problems but sometimes hacks up and has the ability in this Grade to win, when running close to his best. BSP 48

BOOM! Coup Royale never there unplaced

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