2.50 Exter 011111

 Limited handicaps are a bit tricky (and these are the normal conditions ) £60,000 guaranteed For 4yo+ Weights highest weight 11st 10lb Weight raised 6 Minimum weight 10-4 Penalties after October 22nd, a winner of a chase 4lb (no penalty to increase a horse's weight above 11st 10lb) Captain Chris's Handicap Mark 160 Entries 14 pay £ 175 Penalty value 1st £34,170.00 2nd £12,822.00 3rd £6,420.00 4th £3,198.00 5th £1,608.006th £804.00


your analysis is good and deserves success Cornas is my Analyser horse to be followed - my notes are - 
FANTASTIC RUN SANDOWN 200209 BEAT HOME FREE WORLD JUST FAILED NOVICE CHASE 2MILES D JACOB  FOLLOW -- THIS WAS JUST SUPERB

031109 exter soft heavy 215 dsr won it from the last very good run from cornas who was carrying 5lbs less 23 dsr


BEATEN IN the victor chandler 230110 napped it ran well--- outclassed 
190310 cheltenham 5:15 - Johnny Henderson Grand Annual Chase Challenge Cup (Handicap) Grade 3 2m½f, Class 1, £45,608.00 1 Pigeon Island 16/1 2 French Opera 10/1 3 Consigliere 16/1 4 Cornas 16/1 Cornas has been running creditably over fences and looked a big threat when creeping into contention on the run down to three out. However, he was another who could not find the extra required after the last, despite keeping on.


The last ten years stats 

YEAR	WINNER	AGE	WGT	SP	TRAINER
2010	Tchico Polos	6	10-4	3/1	Paul Nicholls
2009	Planet Of Sound	7	10-9	4/1F	Philip Hobbs
2008	Ashley Brook	10	10-4	8/1	Kevin Bishop
2007	Pablo Du Charmil	6	10-12	9/2	David Pipe
2006	Impek	10	11-10	9/1	Henrietta Knight
2005	Monkerhostin	8	10-5	10/1	Philip Hobbs
2004	Azertyuiop	7	11-10	6/5F	Paul Nicholls
2003	Edredon Bleu	11	11-10	7/2	Henrietta Knight
2002	Edredon Bleu	10	11-10	10/1	Henrietta Knight
2001	Best Mate	6	10-12	8/13F	Henrietta Knight

 you can see that really good animals have won this race with the biggest price going off at 10/1  but there is always a gamble in the race and animals come in quite sharply towards the off . NO Nine Year old has won it and they have made up a great deal of the runners in the past

 so the other Analyser horse in this race is Medermit --My Notes - tried to give that good horse mahonia 1olbs  exeter 41108 time will tell how good this one is trying to give that one weight g/sft 2m1f hdle  both well clear 

folkstone soft 181108 paid a compliment to his Exeter conqueror Mahonia and got off the mark for current connections at the second attempt with an easy display. He took control nearing the final flight and did not have to be fully extended to complete the task, shaping like a horse that will stay further as he matures. He has already been allotted an official mark of 125, so it will be interesting to see whether his leading stable elects to keep him to novice races, for which he now gets a double penalty, or try their hands in handicap company.

fantastic beating DEE DEE Williams 20/1 backed into 14/1 191208 really class race at ascot all horses must be noted top Mr 2miles g/sft  lay at the back and swooped easy peasy same weight as the red hot fav 

ANALYSER THIS ONE BIG TIME CHELTENHAM 100309 mid-division, stumbled on bend after 5th, headway next, ridden after 2 out, staying on when not fluent and hampered last, finished strongly yes yes yes too soft chelt 211 dsr came with a wining run SOOPER DOOPER 2M HEAVY 151109 

 050211 sandown impressive again This high-class novice chase has not been won by a future Cheltenham winner since Best Mate scored in 2001, en-route to Arkle success. It looked a strong line-up, although the pace did not appear that fast. MEDERMIT,  beat home Captain Chris . He jumped and travelled pretty well and had the race in safe keeping at the last, although he had to be driven out to hold off the runner-up. His trainer would not be drawn on his Cheltenham target, but the impression is that he only just gets this trip and, of his options at the festival, the Arkle looks the best, as he will be suited by the likely strong gallop there.

so you have to keep your eyes on the going and the stats - I like Medermit for the win  and Cornas for the place and that's where the money is going - 

 Make notes for all runners in this race as it will pay dividends as the season goes on 

 good luck  lets compare notes after the race

 Bob
  Result as always took my two animals in  a reverse forecast - Captain Chris was all wrong at the last and its turn of speed would have carried it through --- but this is horse racing 
1 Medermit 7/2 

2 Cornas 16/1 
3 Oiseau De Nuit 16/1 

7 ran Distances: 1¼l, 2¼l, 6l
TIME 4m 7.40s (fast by 0.60s)

Jockey: Robert Thornton
Trainer: Alan King

toteswingers:1&2:£9.10, 2&3:£15.90, 1&3:£4.80 WIN £3.40 PL £1.50, £5.40
Ex £44.10
CSF £47.93

A good-quality edition of this race, featuring three of last season´s better novices, including the Arkle hero, as well as the Grand Annual winner. Cornas, having his third crack at the race, can probably be used to rate the form around.

The pace was no more than fair and there were four almost in a line taking the last.

It was last season´s Scilly Isles winner MEDERMIT who came out on top, although it highly likely Captain Chris would have won but for blundering badly and Richard Johnson beingunable to stay aboard.

The winner, unable to go the pace when a beaten favourite in last season´s Arkle, had been thrashed by Wishful Thinking at Aintree when last seen, but this test would have been more suitable and, having taken over before the first in the race, he toughed it out well, finding plenty for pressure as his extra stamina came into play. He may have been fortunate, but even if he´d been caught it would still have gone down as a good effort, and he´ll now head to the Peterborough Chase at Huntingdon. The Ryanair is the long-term aim.

Arkle winner Captain Chris is expected to need further this season and he looked a bit rusty through the first mile of the race. He appeared beaten three out, but really picked up after the next and looked certain to come through and win with a good jump. He didn´t produce one, though, taking off a stride too soon and barely getting to the other side, eventually dumping Johnson. Whilst most unfortunate for connections, this result is unlikely to havean impact on the remainder of his season (assuming he didn´t harm himself), and, if still heading to the King George, he´ll go there with sound claims with the 3m trip expected to suit.

Cornas, runner-up in 2009 and sixth last year, was second in a Listed Chase at Enghein last month, so fitness wasn´t a problem and he ran above expectations, just not being able to see it out as well as the winner. He´ll remain tricky to place successfully
 BOOOMMMM.