Friday 12 November 2010

Formula 1 Championship Carole

Not sure if anyone follows F1 or is interested but I think there is a possible sneaky bet available this week-end. It is the final race of the season and the Championship will be decided. The 4 possible contenders are Alonso, Webber, Vettel and with a very outside chance Hamilton.
No Hamilton can only win if the other 3 fail to score so as that is extremely unlikely we will discount him.
The interesting part is that Webber and Vettel race for the same team. The interesting bet depends upon where these 3 qualify on Sauturday. If Alonso is nowhere near the front then it will be a staright fight between Webber and Vettel.
However, if all 3 are up near the front which they should be then something very interestibng happens. Vettal cannot win the championship if he has Alonso anywhere near the front but Webber could (check out the points and work it out you'll see what I mean). Red Bull (Webber and Vettel) have always maintained that they won't favour one driver over the other whilst they both have a chance to win BUT (and this is where it gets interesting) they will favour Webber over Vettel so that Alonso won't win the championship if this position poresents itself.
If Vettel is in front of Webber they will find some way of reversing this situation in order for Webber and not Alonso to win the championship. (Yes Formula 1 is highly political).

So..........my interesting bet is to LAY Vettel for winner of the race itself Abu Dhabi GP (not the championship) and if you are unsure wait until you see the grid position of the drivers after qualifying on Saturday. Vettel is currently 3.9 on Betfair to LAY for the race (2nd fav after Webber), if he gets pole position and he well might, then the odds will drop - but as I say unless Alonso is nowhere to be seen he won't be allowed to win over Webber.
Its a big lay for me and good luck all.

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