The Greatwood Handicap Hurdle Sunday 14th Cheltenham’s at 2.20 November meeting. It is run over 2M 110y open to 4yos and upwards. It usually attracts a high class field and recent winners include Rooster Booster, Detroit City, Sizing Europe and Khyber Kim.
Ground forecast Good to Soft (took some getting yesterday and could remain holding ground as there is widespread fog stopping the ground drying
Past 10 years: Age (Win-Place-Runners)
4yo: 1-3-20 - 5yo: 6-7-46 6yo: 1-5-29 7yo: 1-3-13 - 8yo: 1-3-10 9yo+: 0-1-11
5 year olds have a superb record in this race having won 6 of the last 10 from approximately 35.7% of the total runners.
The only 4yo winner since 2000 was Detroit City, who had won the Triumph Hurdle and Anniversary 4yo Hurdle. The previous 4yo to win this was South Parade in 1988, he had finished 4th in that year's Triumph Hurdle.
In the past 15 years, only two winners were aged over 6. They were Khyber Kim in 2009 (2nd in Champion Hurdle later that season & won grade 1 Aintree Hurdle) and Rooster Booster in 2002 (won Champion Hurdle that season).
Of the four non-5yo winners of this since 2000, 2 were previous grade 1 winners and 2 went on to win grade 1’s later that same season.
Weight (Win-Place-Runners) Horses carrying 10-13 or more: 6-9-66
Horses carrying 10-12 or less: 4-13-63
There is a slight preference for higher weights. 5 of the last 8 winners carried 11-6+.
Top weights (3-3-12) do have a good record however, having won 3 of the last 10 and filling a place in each of the last 3 years.
Horses carrying a penalty (0-4-7) had found 4 places from 7 runners.
Official Ratings
Horses rated 140 or more: 6-7-34 Horses rated 130 to 139: 3-9-67 Horses rated 129 or less: 1-6-27
Horses officially rated 140+ have won 6 of the last 10 from less than 26.4% of the total runners.
9 of 10 winners were racing off a career high mark in a handicap hurdle (though 5 of 10 winners were making their handicap hurdle debut)
Recent/Past Form
10 of 10 winners had won no more than 2 handicap hurdles (7 had yet to win a handicap hurdle)
8 of 10 winners posted their highest RPR in their last two hurdles runs
8 of 10 winners had run no more than 9 times over hurdles
8 of 10 winners had run in no more than 5 handicap hurdles
Since this race became a listed/graded hurdle in 2001, 8 of 9 winners had won a class 2 or better hurdle (exception was a group 2 flat winner)
7 of 10 winners finished in first 2 on their last completed hurdles start
7 of 10 winners had their last run in the past 45 days
7 of 10 winners had run on the flat (5 who had run in Britain were rated 94+ on the level, two others had only run on the flat in France)
Since this race became a grade 3 hurdle all 6 winners had run in a listed or graded hurdle on their previous NH start
5 of 10 winners (5 of last 6) were running in their first handicap hurdle
Other Races
Anniversary Novices' Hurdle winner (Orsippus): 21 (1-1-2) betfair 89s
Silver Trophy Handicap Hurdle winner (Any Given Day): 3 (0-1-1) betfair 20s
Conditional Jockeys Ch'ship H’cap Hurdle winner (Astracad): 70 (0-0-2) betfair24s
Top Novice Hurdle winner (General Miller): F95 (0-0-3) betfair 16s
Totesport Trophy Hurdle winner (Get Me Out Of Here): 806 (0-0-3) betfair 8s
2 of 10 winners ran in the WilliamHill.com Hurdle at Kempton, finishing 11
4 of 10 winners ran at that year's Cheltenham Festival (22nd & 1st in County Hurdle, 13th Supreme and 1st Triumph)
Trainers Philip Hobbs (2-1-16) is the only trainer to have won the race twice in the last 10 years. Menorah betfair 7.5s
Jonjo O’Neill (1-2-4) (Get Me Out Of Here), Paul Nicholls (1-2-6) (Sanctuair) has saddled the winner and 2 placed finishers in the past 10 years.
Nigel Twiston-Davies (Astracad): (1-1-8) saddled Khyber Kim to win it last year
Alan King (Many Rivers To Cross) current favourite (0-3-8) has saddled a placed finisher in the last 3 years and none of his 8 runners have finished worse than 6th.
Irish based trainers (2-1-18) have won 2 of the last 6 renewals. Both Irish-trained winners were NH bred 5yos who had won a Punchestown Hurdle that year and were having their first run in a handicap hurdle. (St Devote 47s Belfair)
Price 9 of 10 winners were sent off at 9/1 or lower - Generally this is a race in which market leaders dominate, with the 33/1 winner in 2003 the only exception. 6 of 10 winners came from the first 2 in the betting.
Favourites (3-3-11) have won 3 renewals in the past 10 years but show a level stakes loss of 1.09.
Summary:
You are looking for a horse: - Aged 5 - - Carrying 10-13+ (top weight does well) - Officially rated 140+ over hurdles (racing off career high mark) –
Official rated 94+ on the flat
- Finished in the first two on last NH start (in graded/listed hurdle)
- Run no more than 9 times over hurdles
- Run in 5 or fewer handicap hurdles (handicap debutante favoured)
- Won no more than 2 handicap hurdles
- Won a hurdle at class 2 level or better
- Trained by P Hobbs, P Nicholls, A King or Gary Moore
- Priced 9/1 or shorter
Joker in the pack has to be the grade 1 soft ground hdler AnyGivenDay who has some decent speed figures and seems to handle any distance with stamina on its side won off 80 on the flat and looks to have great place chances today
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result---Menorah was fantastic and a really great winner an excellent result Bothy looked threatening and a very tight finish - Bothy has been caught before but unlucky for those on it - GetMeOut of here just did not fire and something wrong with that one - was impressed with the run of AnyGivenDay
1st1. Menorah (IRE)8.6 072nd16. Bothy26.01 17 3rd9. Manyriverstocross (IRE)7.63 6.504th3. Any Given Day (IRE)12.29 12
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