The Dobbins & Madigans at Punchestown Hurdle Bobt

The Dobbins & Madigans at Punchestown Hurdle (registered as the Morgiana) is a 2 mile grade 1 hurdle that takes place at Punchestown on Sunday 14th November. It has been won by some of the best Irish hurdlers in the past 10 years including Limestone Lad, Brace Inca, Hardy Eustace and last year Solwhit who attempts to win it again. Only 4 horses left in at the 5-day stage is a very disappointing turn-out.

Below we take a look at the trends for the past 10 years: Age (Win-Place-Runners)

No very strong trends looking at the ages. Horses aged 9+ appear to have a very strong record but 2 of those 3 wins were gained by Limestone Lad who won the race 3 times.

All 5 winners aged 5 or 6 had either won the Punchestown Champion Novice Hurdle or finished in the first 4 in the Punchestown Champion hurdle.

Gender

Record of mares: 52632 (0-1-5) only 1 today second fav Voler De Vedette

The 5 mares to run in the race went off at prices of 25/1, 2/1, 66/1, 5/1 and 7/2)

Recent/Past Form 10 of 10 winners had won a hurdles race over 2 miles

9 of 10 winners (last 5) had won a grade 1 hurdle

9 of 10 winners were previously won at the track (exception was 2nd in a novice hurdle and 3rd in a grade 1 hurdle on 2 starts here)

8 of 10 winners finished in the first 3 last time out (both exceptions unplaced in a grade 1 over 2M 4F to 3M)

6 of 10 winners had won at that year's Punchestown Festival

Other Races

Previous season's winner (Solwhit): 1233 (1-1-4)

Highest placed finisher in Punchestown Champion hurdle to run in this (Solwhit): 4111331 (4-0-7)

Previous season’s Tara Hurdle winner (Donnas Palm): 1 (1-0-1)

Tipperary Hurdle winner (Donnas Palm): 3 (0-0-1)

Leopardstown Festival Hurdle winner (Solwhit): 53 (0-0-2)

Toshiba Irish Champion Hurdle winner (Solwhit): 532 (0-0-3)

4 of 10 winners ran in Punchestown Champion Hurdle, finishing 2411

3 of 10 winners ran in Punchestown Champion Novice Hurdle finishing 111

3 of 10 winners ran in Tipperary Hurdle last time, finishing 323

3 of 10 winners ran in Aintree Hurdle, finishing F91

3 of 10 winners ran in Irish Champion Hurdle at Leopardstown, finishing 252

2 of 10 winners ran in Horse & Hotel Hurdle, finishing 12

2 of 10 winners ran in Festival Hurdle at Leopardstown, finishing 22

Trainers

Noel Meade (3-0-8) has won the race 3 times in the last 6 years. Donnas Palm

Charles Byrnes (1-0-1) is looking to win the race with Solwhit for the second year running.

Colm Murphy (1-0-2) saddled Brave Inca to win it in 05 and finish 3rd in 06. Voler De Vedette

Price

8 of 10 winners were priced 9/2 or lower

Hardy Eustace 14/1 (08) and Harchibald 10/1 (04) were the two surprise results.

Favourites (4-1-10) have won 4 renewals in the past 10 years but show a level stakes loss of 2.82.

Summary:

Based on the trends from the past 10 years you are looking for a horse:

- Gelding

- Finished in the first 3 last time out

- Won a 2M grade 1 hurdle

- Course winner

- Ran in 2010 Punchestown Champion H’dl or Champion Novice Hd’l

- Won at the 2010 Punchestown Festival

- Trained by Noel Meade or Charles Byrnes
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 result ---- 1st2. Solwhit (FR)2.282.102nd4. Voler La Vedette (IRE)3.863.50