This is a cracking renewal and I will not be able to get there for the first time in many many years and that is simply old age catching up.
I love this race for its forecast and tricast possibilities - ability to jump second season chasers who have jumped these fences before and won or came second in their last race and can go on the ground
Holding the top spot in my affections is Madison Du Berlais was sent over hdles last time to good effect won the Hennessy jumping for fun and is a hardened handicapper - won of 150 (daH of 154) and has to improve 3lbs to the rest who have to improve loads more (Denman for example has to improve 7lbs on his win here) Madison is in the handicap proper at only 10-01 - trounced Denman who was giving him 4lbs on soft ground at Kempton is running at his peak DSR of 28 days.
Others that hold really good credentials are in order of preference - Hey Big Spender who won this card last year on g/soft ground - at 7 is a good animal that takes a few chances but a second season horse who Joe Tizzard Cannot ride today unfortunately is what I feel has a great chance in next years national - ground is no worry fences are! He is a stayer and in a fast-run race like the Hennessy he might drop the bit and relax for a while. he stays - he is bred to stay.
Big Fella Thanks has jumped round here and came a close second to Hey Big last time and is a decent jumper round here - Ferdy Yard not in the greatest form - money will be significant
Sliver by Nature - if only the ground cuts up this would be a sensational runner goes well fresh jumps like a dream has place chances - looked big and fit in a recent video from the yard make him 5th in on class (they are playing 5 places at Ladbrokes)
if this race does not set your pulse racing nothing will!
11 comments:
Will really appreciate a comment from all of my blogging friends on this race - your hopes and dreams -Please become involved as blogging to myself is fine but a bit frustrating - we have plenty of readers but my aim has been and always will be to have Your Comments (or it starts to become some sort of self abuse!) good luck today to traders backers and layers
have opened it up for anyone who reads to be able to post without Goggle ID today
Bob, you know that I will not waiver from Denman, HOWEVER, both Diamond Harry and Taranis have good claims (at nice prices). I backed Carruthers ante-post but it was a trading bet and I am all green for my trading account.
Morning Robert. I picked what I thought could figure and picked Madison du Berlais and then read your trends. Noticed that you've got a soft spot for Madison du Berlais as well so it's just confirmed what my bet. Think I'll have a bigger place bet than win but I think it could be a top 5 finisher at 4.2 on Betfair. Thanks for all your effort with this again. Superb.
Jonathan
Hello all i really do like the way that you set out the hennessy different and think that a seven year old will win - this is new to me not going to the track so its good to talk to someone about Carruthers who will charge off in front I think so I have backed the weird Al Carruthers and Diamond Harry in combination forecasts and have inclded Denman for combination tricasts
Beerbelly
Hi Robert - you have been hitting the post with your bets lately at big prices on facebook so your due for a change of luck what do you think of the fighting fith - you put up the first two on racecaller last year but have you left it alone
Tony
Hi Tony
have to say Binnocular looks good but have taken Nearby as the improver and have done the reverse forecast its just the price for its run the track
Bob
well well well - that fighting fith looked as if it took some getting - ground is def bit deeper or holding on the hdles track cant believe how good Pedllers ran the finish - Nearby is not this class on holding ground good race for in running punters or brave layers
i have just backed Denman again on betfair at 2.5 for a place as for Binocular he is one of my fav horse and i have been saying for a while he needs big fields still should get a better price for march now:)
i am very happy with Denman's run had a good bet on the place but you have to belive he has a great chance in the gold cup in march after running so well lumping so much more weight around as for the winner when did he learn to jump so well as his jumping was shocking at cheltenham
Denman always jumps well at Newbury Chris. I was impressed with his run !!
martin i was not talking about Denman's jumping i was talking about diamond harrys i think off level weights the others will have to go some in march to beat the tank
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