Charlie Hall Chase Wetherby 30th 2010 - bob T

The Grade 2 Bet365 Charlie Hall Chase t. Ollie Magern who won the race in 2005 and 2007 is looking to be the first horse to win the race three times.

 last year was a cracker  It produceda dramatic finish that resulted in carnage amongst the in-running players. result - Deep Purple 9/2 - Tamarinbleu 2/1f  - Ollie Magern 85/40  (five ran!)

Below we take a look at the trends for the past 10 years:

Age  7yo: 1-3-7

8yo: 5-3-21 ( Barber Shop )

9yo: 1-2-14

10yo:3-2-14 (That's Rhythm)

11yo+: 0-1-7

8 and 10 year olds have the best records having won 8 of the last 10 between them.

Official Ratings 9 of 10 winners were officially rated 145+ ( ONLY That's Rhythm is rated lower at 143)

Recent/Past Form

9 of 10 winners were having their first start over fences in over 200 days - excludes Nacarat and Thats Rhythm)

9 of 10 winners had won a graded chase worth 25K+ (Deep Purple and Nacarat)

9 of 10 winners had won a chase over 3M+ (exception Deep Purple had won over 2M 4F and had never run over further)- only Deep purple has won 3m1f

8 of 10 winners were having their first run of the season (both exceptions had run just once that season)  Calgary Bay 1 run  That's Rhythm 2 runs)

7 of 10 winners finished in the first 3 last time out ( Nacarat and Oli Magern are the only animals to qualify this stat)

6 of 10 winners had won a grade 1 chase (3 of 4 exceptions had yet to run in a grade 1 chase) (Deep Purple and Nacarat) all have run grade 1 

4 of 10 winners had won over CD (Deep Purple)

Other Races Previous season's winner (Deep Purple): 12P2 (1-2-4)

5 of 10 winners ran at a chase at that year's Aintree National Festival (Nacarat and Calgary Bay)

 2 of 10 winners ran in the Cheltenham Gold Cup, finishing 44 (Calgary Bay) (Barber Shop)

Trainers

Evan Williams (2-1-3) saddled the runner-up in 07 and the winner in 08 & 09. They have been his only 3 runners in this race.

Nigel Twiston Davies (2-1-5) has saddled Ollie Magern to win it in 2005 & 2007 and to finish 2nd and 3rd in the past 2 years.

Howard Johnson (2-0-5) won the race in 2004 and 2005.

Nicky Henderson (1-1-2) trained Marlborough to win it in 02 and finish 2nd in 03.

Price 9 of 10 winners were priced 6/1 or below

Besides one shock in 2003 (40/1 shot) all other winners have come from the first 4 in the betting and have been sent off no bigger than 6/1.

Favourites (3-4-10) have a fair record having won 3 of the last 10 but show a level stakes loss of 1.42.

Summary:

Based on the trends from the past 10 years you are looking for a horse:

- Aged 8 or 10

- Officially rated 145+

- Finished in first 3 last time

- Having first run of the season

- Won a grade chase worth 25K+

- Won over 3M+

- Ran in a chase at Aintree in April

- Trained by E Williams, N Twiston-Davies, H Johnson or N Henderson

- Priced 6/1 or below


Nacarat holds maximum count on trends!