05/11/2011 2.20 Down Royal 3mile Soft JNwine.com Champions Chase.

Quito De La Roque trained by C A Murphy had an really outstanding performance in 08/04/2011
Aintree 3m1f race Mildmay Novices Chase. I do not watch every race, but this race seemed to me one of the fastest races i have ever watched and Quito hacked up nicely in the end. Sire of Quito De La Roque Saint De Saints (FR) which is one of the best out there and one which has a tendency to Soft Ground. The fav raced 2 times Soft-Heavy and won.Its a horse,that needs a fast pace and the performance in Aintree was spectacular. Today it has a Frontrunner with Midnight Chase one of the fastest Frontrunner on the market and Rare Bob aswell, Sizing Europe is tracking leaders and it could be a fast race, because Midnight Chase needs All or Nothing. This leads me to my 2nd favourite Midnight Chase ran a cracking performance LTO and raced before against really good animals, didnt finish LTO very far behind really good horses and has today less distance,which is a crucial point from my videoanalysis.For Midnight Chase there are Ground questionmarks ? has 0-1-4 Soft SR, but I question this as I dont believe Midnight Chase doesnt run Soft as Sire Ground Stats show no Fast tendency. Looking at the videos I really think Quito De La Roques Aintree race was crackingly fast and he ran on so strong and looking at the formbook and the video of the last Midnight Chase race in Cheltenham the horse really showed an superb perfromance against the best animals on the market and has today a chance to make all in a small field. I think Quito De La Roque needs a big field and I really see this horse as a place or win contender for the Gold Cup, Midnight Chase has really good condtions in a small field today and if the horse runs the ground its in i guess. Both animals had already good form after a long absence.
Quito De La Rogue Win BOOOOM! What a race i had to jump on Inrunning went over 275 crazy, what a finish! 1st
Midnight Chase Win
Reverse Forecast Quito De La Rogue Midnight Chase

Cheers rade!

Wincanton 3.20 3m1f Hcp Chase Badger Ales Trophy

Golan Way Win and Place

08/04/11 Aintree 3m1f Good Ran a superb 3rd in the race against Quito De La Rogue. Loves the Ground, loves Wincanton and has a long layoff, but is good after a long layoff. Has more weight, but the last performance I judge really high, so odds of 11.0 BSP are a dream.

These contenders I judge high aswell:

Benbane Head ( LTO Performance was at a very fast pace against really good animals and came close with three good animals (Buck Mulligan, Billie Magern and Life of a Luso all rated at the BdH of 160 mark) Today there are several old timers who are far away from this mark in their form.
Gone To Lunch 11 year old had a very nice LTO against weak animals but at a fast pace is good in form im and I give this horse chances aswell.

Meanus Dandy Won this race last year with pretty good horses. This was the best perfomance of this horse.There was a single Front Runner all the Way making the pace and Meanus Dandy always with the leaders ran on strongly. This season ran in very high Prize money races and performed not to his best from my judgement. If repeating last years form has a chance but there is also big questionmarks that the horse runs fresh. Data tells its not a horse that perfroms best after a long absence.

Dovers Hill Beautiful Front Runner ( Bobs noted horse) entered LTO in a really strong race with heaps of high BdH horses above these today. But fell 1st so one couldnt judge the performance. Lost a while ago Head to Head on hurdles against alderluck with 14 lenghts? questionable. Is a good Front Runner but has to prove first in a better field. 2 times good perfromances in small fields in Mrasen and Wincanton and has a nice price, but today i doubt a win, because theres is also not really weight advantage for it.

The Minack I really dont fancy this favourite at BSP of 6.0. Run LTO against Gone to Lunch over a long distance 4m Chase in Aintree and just couldnt hold on to the pace and pulled up. Before in a 4 runner Chase 1 against a highest rated 141 BdH just 3rd place 6 lenghts behind.Before racing again a 3 runner race really nothing special. Had a Wincanton win before over 2m5f but against much weaker animals than today. Not to compare with today opposition.
There are not many positives on this animals side, lack of class, Ground problems, has way too much weight. Only concern to me is that it run good after a long absence.

I still lay it at 6.0 BSP. Lay The Minack
Back Win and Place Golan Way BSP 11
Back Win and Place Benbane Head Bsp 12.5

Wincanton 15.15 2m5fNov Chase

Silviniaco Conti 2.1 BSP is a Class above these today. Its the 2nd Chase run and raced LTo against two decent animals in a 3 runner Novice Chase. Has a 175+ Hurdle Best Mark clocked in very fast speed ain Ascot adn an EMR of 170. The 2nd best in todays field has an EMR of of 158. Today is Mc Coy on Board and Nicholls won this event three times in the past 7 years.

Boom! Easy 25lenghts winner 1st




Good Luck!